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On June 25, the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee kept its rates on hold and issued a "neutral" statement. In couched words, it expected both inflationary and recessionary forces to balance later this year. The stock markets' downward...
Last week, Merk Investments, a small firm in Palo Alto that manages currency mutual funds, landed a big fish: William Poole. Poole served as president of the Federal Reserve Bank in St. Louis from 1998 until March 31, when he reached the...
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Earlier this week
Why Isn't the Fed Listening to the Markets? A common view of the Federal Reserve is that it is some sort of a nearly omnipotent being standing on guard of healthy economic expansion maintaining a delicate balance between growth and inflation in...
Are currency traders as inept at predicting Federal Reserve policy as they seem? Judging from the reaction in the euro dollar to the FOMC statement on Wednesday their forecasting skills are unremarkable. In the 45 minutes after the 2:15 pm status...
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